OT -- Another School Shooting

Talk about BMW E28s and the people who own them. Use Tech Talk for tech questions and topics.
Tammer in Philly
Posts: 10719
Joined: Feb 12, 2006
Location: CHI, IL

Post by Tammer in Philly »

davintosh wrote:
Tammer in Philly wrote:... If the answer is, "we are willing to accept the violence as a price of the liberties we have," so be it, but let's be honest about what that means. When it comes to airport security, that's where I land. I would happily see the TSA go away tomorrow and go back to private security, even if that meant a minuscule increase in risk of attack (I don't believe the risk would actually increase, though). And this is coming from someone who gets on a plane pretty frequently. Instead, though, one fertilizer bomb in OK and now you have to register to buy more than 25 lbs of ammonium nitrate at a time, and one shoe bomb attempt and we all step out of our loafers to get on a plane. But 6 mass killings in 4 years and we've done nothing? I think that tide is shifting, and I'd rather we ask the right questions and get to the right answer rather than have some stupid knee-jerk policy in place (as Kohler mentioned several pages ago).
Done nothing? What can be done to keep crazies from shooting up innocents? (< that's a rhetorical question, btw; see the previous 8 pages.) Not to be crass about the numbers, but considering the Oklahoma City bombing killed 168 & injured another ~680, and a successful shoe bomb could potentially kill several hundred on the plane (and more depending on where it went down)... I don't know how many were killed in the last six shooting incidents, but it was far less than were killed by Tim McVeigh, and less than could be killed by a bringing down a crowded airliner. Comparing the numbers, I'd say the response isn't necessarily out of line, especially considering the difficulties involved in preventing the shooting sprees.
Looking at raw numbers is the wrong approach, but to fill in the gap, the last 6 shooting sprees killed 116, so we're on the order of a 737 coming down or the OK bombing.

However, what we should be looking at is probability of incidents and the cost and effectiveness at reducing the risk. I don't know the aggregate cost of the TSA to date, but I do know that their success rate has been abysmal--far more attack attempts have been thwarted on the plane, past TSA checks, than have been stopped by the TSA who has yet to catch a single weapon in the hands of someone with ill intent. On the other hand, the cost to the public in money, time, and aggravation has been severe, and that's before you start tallying the quantity of goods stolen by the agents there to "protect" us.

So I'd say on the one scenario, our response has been heavy-handed and still ineffective, while in the private guns scenario our response has not reflected the severity of the situation.

As to your first question, I have no idea, but I'm willing to discuss ideas focusing on many aspects of the problem, from the underlying personal issues that cause the desire to kill to the means by which the desires are carried out. As a nation, I think it's time we have these talk rationally and come up with some way of improving things. I'm certain it can be done without banning guns or confiscating the guns that are out there (which would, in my opinion, land us in the TSA-land of "heavy handed and ineffective," not to mention "really expensive and begging for corruption and abuse").

-tammer
Mike W.
Posts: 27981
Joined: Feb 12, 2006
Location: California Whine Country

Post by Mike W. »

Jeremy wrote:Guys, please try to keep the personal insults to a minimum. I've already PMed some people individually about it, but it goes for everyone.

I don't like these types of discussions on this forum to begin with, I'll only allow them as long they stay fairly civil. Tossing insults at people with a different viewpoint doesn't invite that sort of exchange.

Go after the idea, not the person posting it or the people that happen to think that way.
Absolutely!!! That's what I was trying to get across with my post on civil discussions. You can disagree with opinions, even think they're ludicrous, but respect the opinion holder.

Think baseball. The umps, (supposedly, I'm not that far into it) will cut the guys some slack if when arguing they insult the call, but not the ump. A shitty call, but not a shitty umpire. Disparage the idea, but not the person.
1st 5er
Posts: 21966
Joined: Jun 13, 2008
Location: Cypress
Contact:

Post by 1st 5er »

I'm ordering more :popcorn: . :D
RangerGress
Posts: 678
Joined: Jan 20, 2012
Location: Savannah, GA
Contact:

Post by RangerGress »

Tammer in Philly wrote:
Matt wrote: The misuse of statistical information and techniques is RAMPANT in papers, headlines, etc that attempt to influence public policy.
I absolutely agree with this. This is why it's very important to start asking the right questions.

People on both extremes of the gun control issue keep trotting out the same old shit. "More guns makes us safer." "Countries with fewer guns are safer." And there are data-based ways to support both of those extremes. But we're not asking the questions that get to the real problem: In the US, we have a very different rate of violent crime than any other developed nation, and it's unlikely that the mental makeup of our population as a whole is significantly different. So what makes us so violent, and what are the most practical and most viable ways to minimize it?

If the answer is, "we are willing to accept the violence as a price of the liberties we have," so be it, but let's be honest about what that means. When it comes to airport security, that's where I land. I would happily see the TSA go away tomorrow and go back to private security, even if that meant a minuscule increase in risk of attack (I don't believe the risk would actually increase, though). And this is coming from someone who gets on a plane pretty frequently. Instead, though, one fertilizer bomb in OK and now you have to register to buy more than 25 lbs of ammonium nitrate at a time, and one shoe bomb attempt and we all step out of our loafers to get on a plane. But 6 mass killings in 4 years and we've done nothing? I think that tide is shifting, and I'd rather we ask the right questions and get to the right answer rather than have some stupid knee-jerk policy in place (as Kohler mentioned several pages ago).

-tammer
I don't understand you're approach. The problem is violent crime. Horrendous events like school shootings and terrorist attacks get our attention, but the real problem is (mostly) youngsters (<30yrs old) shooting each other. So if you're serious about exploring solutions lets focus on the real problems.

We do a lot of excusing of unacceptable behavior. We say "they're poor" so they do poorly in school and don't seem to have much work ethic. That's not helping anyone. Consider the word "underprivileged". Is that how each of us got to where we are?....privilege?

I don't accept that the primary reason inner city youth are shooting each other is they suffer from treatable mental disorders. I think they're just sociopathic thugs. So how do we reduce the # of sociopathic thugs?

1) We could get serious about teen pregnancy and births out of wedlock. Children raising children is no recipe for success. We've worked hard to remove the stigma from all of that, and I can't for the life of me understand why. Lets stigmatize the crap out of it.

2) My draconian public punishments idea.

Other ideas?

Note, that by "city" I don't necessarily mean big cities. Here in Savannah we've our share of young thugs shooting each other.
Tammer in Philly
Posts: 10719
Joined: Feb 12, 2006
Location: CHI, IL

Post by Tammer in Philly »

RangerGress wrote:I don't understand you're approach. The problem is violent crime. Horrendous events like school shootings and terrorist attacks get our attention, but the real problem is (mostly) youngsters (<30yrs old) shooting each other. So if you're serious about exploring solutions lets focus on the real problems.

We do a lot of excusing of unacceptable behavior. We say "they're poor" so they do poorly in school and don't seem to have much work ethic. That's not helping anyone. Consider the word "underprivileged". Is that how each of us got to where we are?....privilege?

I don't accept that the primary reason inner city youth are shooting each other is they suffer from treatable mental disorders. I think they're just sociopathic thugs. So how do we reduce the # of sociopathic thugs?

1) We could get serious about teen pregnancy and births out of wedlock. Children raising children is no recipe for success. We've worked hard to remove the stigma from all of that, and I can't for the life of me understand why. Lets stigmatize the crap out of it.

2) My draconian public punishments idea.

Other ideas?

Note, that by "city" I don't necessarily mean big cities. Here in Savannah we've our share of young thugs shooting each other.
You're conflating multiple issues, which leads to some cloudiness in how to approach it.

Sociopathy is a mental illness. Mass murderers, serial killers, many rapists, etc. tend to be sociopaths. There is something wrong with those people that may or may not be fixable, depending on how the issue is identified and how they are treated. There is an element of nature vs. nurture, i.e. some people may be prone to sociopathy but may never actually commit violent crime, much like some people are more prone to alcholism or addiction to other drugs or gambling, but are able to either control themselves or to abstain altogether. We generally don't understand the basis for such illnesses very well (physical, genetic, or epigenetic), and we have only a weak understanding of the "nurture" or environmental differences that drives some of these people over the edge, while others like them never cross that line. Being abused as a child, growing up with an alcoholic parent, etc. are things that may trigger a sociopath or an addict to act out later on. The same person in a different environment may have the same proclivities, but never act on them.

That's very different from the majority of crimes, things like armed robberies or burglaries or muggings or kids engaging in drug-related turf battles or money disputes. Those are all crimes of expediency, generally committed by people who aren't stupid and who are trying to achieve a specific end.

The latter group is the type who may be helped by better education, who may be deterred by draconian punishments (though there is plenty of evidence that this is of limited effectiveness), who are almost certainly criminals by nurture rather than by nature. In other words, they are situational criminals, and while they know right from wrong, they can justify that they are doing what they need to do to get by. Or they're just assholes and don't care, and it's purely a matter of expediency (e.g. I want what you have, and I have the ability to take it by force or by deceit, so I will).

"Disadvantaged" kids are prone to being in the second group because they live in shitty areas with shitty schools. They lack role models. There are cultural issues that make their success difficult. You're asking if we are all where we are because of privilege. Privilege is definitely part of it, and to pretend otherwise is to wear the worst kind of blinders. Most of us were very privileged by birth, even just by having parents who cared for us and read to us. We can make progress with kids who lack good home lives by providing them with a strong school structure, role models outside the home, goals and rewards for reaching them, and basically providing the type of conditioning that good parents do themselves. (We can't keep bad parents from reproducing, so society has to pick up the slack for their kids.) Improving the home situation of kids and our societal expectations of them is one way to prevent them from landing in a place where crime seems like a valid option.

On the other hand, the sociopaths--the mentally ill who prey on people for amusement or as some sort of attention grab--they won't be deterred by draconian punishments. Most eventually kill themselves anyway. They are doing what they do because they fundamentally don't understand how to be a part of society. They are ill, by and large, and there are few common threads in terms of home life and upbringing and social class and education. In this country, the sociopathic mass murderers are overwhelmingly young white males from fairly educated and well-off homes. The CT shooter was the child of a wealthy man. Dylan Klebold had married parents, a father who worked from home and was around his son all the time, a pretty good academic record, etc. No lack of privilege drove him to crime to make ends meet. He was just a kid with no self-esteem and enough mental instability to go along with his friend Eric's idea, and Eric was a true sociopath. What those kids need aren't more severe consequences; they need some counseling and interventional therapy. "Jail really really sucks" isn't going to deter someone who is mentally incapacitated when it comes to behavior and consequences.

So, I'm typing too much. You can't reduce the number of sociopaths, but I think that good mental health screenings and treatments and research will reduce the number of sociopaths who actually turn into killers. But that's a very different problem than reducing the number of thugs who are criminals because they feel they have no better options. That last group is in theory easier to address, and they are responsible for far more deaths than the mentally ill group ... but we as a society don't care all that much (based on what we do about it), because they tend to mostly kill each other and they are mostly poor.

-tammer
C.R. Krieger
Posts: 14507
Joined: Feb 12, 2006
Location: Halfway up the left side of Lake Michigan
Contact:

Post by C.R. Krieger »

pleasefixitup wrote:
C.R. Krieger wrote:
Tammer in Philly wrote:
L_N_Love wrote:Gun sales will skyrocket. Everyone will want to get in before the ban.
That's already happened twice in the last 6 years, although no ban has been proposed or passed. Maybe it's good evidence that most gun buyers are, in fact, idiots.

-tammer
... which is why I've bought stock in gun manufacturers. I'm willing to take a profit from those idiots.
I think the only publicly traded companies are smith and wesson and ruger. colt is the only one worth really buying stock in and it's private!
Correct - and let me remind you kind folks to BUY AMERICAN [can I add "Colt is crap" without sounding biased?].

It wouldn't hurt if you'd stockpile some damn ammunition, too. Chemical stocks for that shit are flat ...
pleasefixitup
Posts: 1856
Joined: Nov 21, 2011
Location: Chicagoland, Illinois

Post by pleasefixitup »

C.R. Krieger wrote:
pleasefixitup wrote:
C.R. Krieger wrote:
Tammer in Philly wrote:
L_N_Love wrote:Gun sales will skyrocket. Everyone will want to get in before the ban.
That's already happened twice in the last 6 years, although no ban has been proposed or passed. Maybe it's good evidence that most gun buyers are, in fact, idiots.

-tammer
... which is why I've bought stock in gun manufacturers. I'm willing to take a profit from those idiots.
I think the only publicly traded companies are smith and wesson and ruger. colt is the only one worth really buying stock in and it's private!
Correct - and let me remind you kind folks to BUY AMERICAN [can I add "Colt is crap" without sounding biased?].

I personally think Ruger is an amazing gun.

The mini ranch is a gun I've never had a misfire with. I've gone to the range with an AR-15 and a ruger mini ranch and after about 10 minutes I put the AR-15 away because "bone stock" it won't fire round after round. The ruger mini ranch was a dream to shoot, their products are amazing.

Colt just the market at their finger tips, at gun shows--they can get away asking insane amounts for their assault rifles.

but I don't even like guns, I've had a foid card for 12-13 years and I've maybe been shooting three times? For me it's a total bore and I'd rather get a car running than to blow money on ammo. To each their own! (Guns are great to own, kind of like that grandfather clock no one looks at for the time, but when you need it--it's there)
RangerGress
Posts: 678
Joined: Jan 20, 2012
Location: Savannah, GA
Contact:

Post by RangerGress »

Here's an interesting addition to the take. It could stand some confirming but it appears that at the Portland (OR) mall shooting last week a CCW holder had the bad guy dead to rights but didn't take the shot because there were friendlies in the background. Ultimately bad guy shot himself.

A lot of good in this story. With just a little bit more luck, lives would have been saved. CCW holder, far from the wild west buckaroo NYT stereo type, was thoughtful and cautious even under stress more extreme then most people will every experience in their lifetime.

Fascinating that the national news chose to ignore this aspect of the tragedy. Didn't fit their worldview. Our opinions are a product of a lifetime's information input. If a person doesn't get their news from both Left AND Right, your media source of choice turns you into a lemming, be it a Right lemming or a Left lemming.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=p ... uLgO4wo4xI
WilNJ
Posts: 4193
Joined: Aug 12, 2009
Location: North Jersey

Post by WilNJ »

RangerGress wrote:Fascinating that the national news chose to ignore this aspect of the tragedy. Didn't fit their worldview. Our opinions are a product of a lifetime's information input. If a person doesn't get their news from both Left AND Right, your media source of choice turns you into a lemming, be it a Right lemming or a Left lemming.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=p ... uLgO4wo4xI
So why isn't Fox covering it? Are they also part of the conspiracy to form this supposed worldview? Or is it more likely that this just came to light now and as of Friday, the Oregon mall incident is old news?
RangerGress
Posts: 678
Joined: Jan 20, 2012
Location: Savannah, GA
Contact:

Post by RangerGress »

Tammer in Philly wrote: You're conflating multiple issues, which leads to some cloudiness in how to approach it.

Sociopathy is a mental illness. Mass murderers, serial killers, many rapists, etc. tend to be sociopaths. There is something wrong with those people that may or may not be fixable, depending on how the issue is identified and how they are treated. There is an element of nature vs. nurture, i.e. some people may be prone to sociopathy but may never actually commit violent crime, much like some people are more prone to alcholism or addiction to other drugs or gambling, but are able to either control themselves or to abstain altogether. We generally don't understand the basis for such illnesses very well (physical, genetic, or epigenetic), and we have only a weak understanding of the "nurture" or environmental differences that drives some of these people over the edge, while others like them never cross that line. Being abused as a child, growing up with an alcoholic parent, etc. are things that may trigger a sociopath or an addict to act out later on. The same person in a different environment may have the same proclivities, but never act on them.

That's very different from the majority of crimes, things like armed robberies or burglaries or muggings or kids engaging in drug-related turf battles or money disputes. Those are all crimes of expediency, generally committed by people who aren't stupid and who are trying to achieve a specific end.

The latter group is the type who may be helped by better education, who may be deterred by draconian punishments (though there is plenty of evidence that this is of limited effectiveness), who are almost certainly criminals by nurture rather than by nature. In other words, they are situational criminals, and while they know right from wrong, they can justify that they are doing what they need to do to get by. Or they're just assholes and don't care, and it's purely a matter of expediency (e.g. I want what you have, and I have the ability to take it by force or by deceit, so I will).

"Disadvantaged" kids are prone to being in the second group because they live in shitty areas with shitty schools. They lack role models. There are cultural issues that make their success difficult. You're asking if we are all where we are because of privilege. Privilege is definitely part of it, and to pretend otherwise is to wear the worst kind of blinders. Most of us were very privileged by birth, even just by having parents who cared for us and read to us. We can make progress with kids who lack good home lives by providing them with a strong school structure, role models outside the home, goals and rewards for reaching them, and basically providing the type of conditioning that good parents do themselves. (We can't keep bad parents from reproducing, so society has to pick up the slack for their kids.) Improving the home situation of kids and our societal expectations of them is one way to prevent them from landing in a place where crime seems like a valid option.

On the other hand, the sociopaths--the mentally ill who prey on people for amusement or as some sort of attention grab--they won't be deterred by draconian punishments. Most eventually kill themselves anyway. They are doing what they do because they fundamentally don't understand how to be a part of society. They are ill, by and large, and there are few common threads in terms of home life and upbringing and social class and education. In this country, the sociopathic mass murderers are overwhelmingly young white males from fairly educated and well-off homes. The CT shooter was the child of a wealthy man. Dylan Klebold had married parents, a father who worked from home and was around his son all the time, a pretty good academic record, etc. No lack of privilege drove him to crime to make ends meet. He was just a kid with no self-esteem and enough mental instability to go along with his friend Eric's idea, and Eric was a true sociopath. What those kids need aren't more severe consequences; they need some counseling and interventional therapy. "Jail really really sucks" isn't going to deter someone who is mentally incapacitated when it comes to behavior and consequences.

So, I'm typing too much. You can't reduce the number of sociopaths, but I think that good mental health screenings and treatments and research will reduce the number of sociopaths who actually turn into killers. But that's a very different problem than reducing the number of thugs who are criminals because they feel they have no better options. That last group is in theory easier to address, and they are responsible for far more deaths than the mentally ill group ... but we as a society don't care all that much (based on what we do about it), because they tend to mostly kill each other and they are mostly poor.

-tammer
I hear you but it's this kind of complexity, the attempt to understand "why" that paralyzes us. Stating the obvious, humans are complicated. Getting wrapped up in "why" so one might craft a surgical solution to violent behavior is an example of how the pursuit of a "perfect" solution can be the enemy of a "good" solution.

I don't trust simple claims like "sociopathy" is a mental illness. Sociopathic behavior is ill-defined, likewise are "illness" and "disease". We are all born sociopaths, it's the most base (pun intended) human nature. Our parents, with varying degrees of success, beat down the sociopathic behaviors with various carrots and sticks, and replace it with more socially positive behaviors.

I'm not saying that sociopathy is not a mental illness, I'm just saying that a lot of precision is lost when one no longer describes specific symptoms and starts instead to just say "sociopathy". It's easy to say the institutionalized serial murderer is a sociopath, but what about the occasional thug? What about the druggy that robs your house to feed his habit? A good debate requires clarity in the terms used.

I would argue that the people who commit that majority of crimes are also sociopaths. But how does us labeling them as such, help?

Re. plenty of evidence that draconian punishments don't deter? Really? Swift execution of public flogging or hanging wouldn't deter? There's lots of studies of punishment and deterrence, but they are all badly distorted because they study variations of the status quo. For example, the deterrence value of capital punishment when it's seldom applied, costs millions in auto-appeals, and people die of old age on death row. There's all sorts of ways that what seems to us to be a harsh or harsher punishment, to the thug isn't so. If we're going to attempt to impact the thug's value system, we have to work the issue from within his value system.

A study of rape punishment might conclude that harsher punishments don't deter if the statistics show that swift minimum mandatory sentences deter better than delayed chaotic, often longer, sentences. But one extrapolates from that at risk. Cut the guy's dick off, do it in some way that maximizes public humiliation, and see if you don't get some deterrence value.

If one creates incentives that synch with human nature, they get good results. The contrary, no matter how well intended, get lousy results. Swift, sure, draconian consequences works because it is in synch with human nature.

My point is that we should get as much out of deterrence as we can. Really make the consequences of violent crime just as awful as we can imagine. Then, after that is in place, we can work to understand the reasons behind violent crime.

Re. Better education. I'm all for teachers that push the kids hard, spank the crap out of those that don't pay attention, and kick the problem kids out of the school. But education isn't a core issue here. Kids should be getting their values from their parents. When the vice principle spanks the child, that's just some reinforcement of parental training. Schools are a place to gain knowledge and learn the social skills that come from being surrounded by peers. Thugs don't hurt people because they didn't get enough math.

Re. Disadvantaged. Sure, a lot of kids come from seriously screwed up homes. And if you accept my premise that kids are all born sociopaths, a home that fails to train that out of a kid is a certain recipe for a thug. With the best of intentions we've done a lot of harm in my lifetime on this issue. The percentages of children having children, and births out of wedlock are incredible. Most of these kids aren't going to go anywhere, they never had a fair chance. We've replaced a culture of self-sufficiency, personal responsibility and Protestant work-ethic with one of entitlement.

What we, as modern, sensitive Western culture did is try to mitigate the consequences of bad decisions and poor behavior. We campaigned to remove stigma, the community's eon old measure to help guide behavior. We also created clumsy financial support systems that screwed up the incentives for folks on the lower economic rung.

If we could really fix the issue of the screwed up home, we could do a helova lot of good. But that's tough. We've worked hard to create an entitlement society. We've worked hard to remove stigma where we could. It would take a real sea-change to reverse course. I'm not optimistic. The entitlement seekers are a very powerful voting bloc and, to the cheers of most of the media, will take us to our economic doom.

And I don't conflate. Around girls, anyhow. It's only conflation if a person prematurely gets wrapped up in the causes of a problem. Make the big fix with a machete, then pull out a scalpel to surgically deal with what remains. That's not conflation that's a "movement to contact" where the heavy force strikes fast and hard. Follow on forces then deal with the isolated resistance that remains.
Tammer in Philly
Posts: 10719
Joined: Feb 12, 2006
Location: CHI, IL

Post by Tammer in Philly »

RangerGress wrote: A study of rape punishment might conclude that harsher punishments don't deter if the statistics show that swift minimum mandatory sentences deter better than delayed chaotic, often longer, sentences. But one extrapolates from that at risk. Cut the guy's dick off, do it in some way that maximizes public humiliation, and see if you don't get some deterrence value.
That's all very interesting, but your ultimate solution is to sacrifice one set of Constitutional rights (freedom from cruel and unusual punishment) to protect another (gun ownership)? Seems misguided to me, but I get your point.
If one creates incentives that synch with human nature, they get good results. The contrary, no matter how well intended, get lousy results. Swift, sure, draconian consequences works because it is in synch with human nature.
I don't think I've seen data that demonstrates such things work, at least not without severe government intrusion and suspension of things like fair trials. So I question that premise.
Re. Better education. I'm all for teachers that push the kids hard, spank the crap out of those that don't pay attention, and kick the problem kids out of the school. But education isn't a core issue here. Kids should be getting their values from their parents. When the vice principle spanks the child, that's just some reinforcement of parental training. Schools are a place to gain knowledge and learn the social skills that come from being surrounded by peers. Thugs don't hurt people because they didn't get enough math.
Then figure out a way to make sure a whole lot of people don't have kids. Seriously, I've taught in one of the worst school systems in this country and I can tell you that someone has to do something when the parents fail, because they do.
Re. Disadvantaged. Sure, a lot of kids come from seriously screwed up homes. And if you accept my premise that kids are all born sociopaths, a home that fails to train that out of a kid is a certain recipe for a thug. With the best of intentions we've done a lot of harm in my lifetime on this issue. The percentages of children having children, and births out of wedlock are incredible. Most of these kids aren't going to go anywhere, they never had a fair chance. We've replaced a culture of self-sufficiency, personal responsibility and Protestant work-ethic with one of entitlement.
The only solution to this is good sex ed with a focus on preventing pregnancy. That means condoms. By the way, teen pregnancies are down. Also, there's a cultural misunderstanding at work. Affluent people tend to think all teen pregnancies are "unwanted." That isn't the case in some populations, which is why it comes back to education.

Protestants don't have a lock on work ethic, FYI.

-tammer
RangerGress
Posts: 678
Joined: Jan 20, 2012
Location: Savannah, GA
Contact:

Post by RangerGress »

WilNJ wrote:
RangerGress wrote:Fascinating that the national news chose to ignore this aspect of the tragedy. Didn't fit their worldview. Our opinions are a product of a lifetime's information input. If a person doesn't get their news from both Left AND Right, your media source of choice turns you into a lemming, be it a Right lemming or a Left lemming.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=p ... uLgO4wo4xI
So why isn't Fox covering it? Are they also part of the conspiracy to form this supposed worldview? Or is it more likely that this just came to light now and as of Friday, the Oregon mall incident is old news?
Don't look to Fox to solve your problems, just in general seek info from both sides of an issue. Be aware of biases.

It's no conspiracy. Most journalists are lefty so lefty issues get sympathetic coverage. Human nature. Most cops and military types are righty and that wasn't a conspiracy either. They just understood that chicks dig uniforms. If you can't get laid in dress blues, it's because you're dead.
shagrath
Posts: 14980
Joined: Jun 15, 2009
Location: pLace

Post by shagrath »

1st 5er wrote:I'm ordering more :popcorn: . :D
THIS

btw I blame Marylin Manson. :roll:
slimdevil27 wrote:My deepest sympathies and condolences go out to those families. Although I have lost a wife and a son just before birth, neither was in such a tragic and horrific way. I can only look at my daughters and imagine the depth of their loss. My prayers are with them.



Smootch,
867535i,
cvillebimmer,

Sheeple-n. A spineless, gutless slug. Warm and fuzzy on the outside but dumber than a pet rock. Asexual, yet effeminate, with no fucking balls. Needs constant shepherding from big brother to keep from hurting themselves or others due to their ignorant, blatantly moronic and reckless behavior. Typically heard bleating in sync with mass media or for no reason at all and in a group dynamic always in unison. Disrupting this synchronized bleating with truth or intelligent thought will cause unpredictable panic, fear or aggression. Unable to think for themselves, they instead mimic and always follow a predictable pattern of choosing their "thought leader". They are inevitably attracted to simplistic, uninspired thought that has the hollow ring of an intelligent premise, but is devoid of any factual basis or academic understanding above a preschool level, often flocking around false authority. Born with a saddle on their back and an ingrained desire appease, they are easily ridden with very little coaxing, false promises will keep them inline no matter how often you repeat the same thing and fail to deliver.


For anyone interested in the actual data, "More guns, less crime" by Professor John Lott. Every variable from age cross section to socio-economic, to racial/minority factors, that could be quantified was included in his statistical research. I will gladly lend you my copy.

Brad D. wrote:There definitely seems to be a reoccurring trend.

Jared Lee Loughner (Tucson,AZ) - 23 yo white male.
Adam Lanza (Newtown, CT) - 20 yo white male
James Eagan Holmes (Aurora, CO) - 24 yo white male.
Jacob Tyler Roberts (Oregon mall) - 22 yo white male
Eric David Harris (Columbine, CO) - 19 yo white male
Dylan Bennet Klebold (Columbine, CO) - 17 yo white male
In every instance prior mental problems, untreated, overlooked or ineffectually treated was the single biggest factor. It doesn't take a genius to figure out that mentally deranged people and firearms don't mix well. Oh, I'm sorry, was that the "elephant in the room". That's right, it's all about evil guns.

For the other side of the argument, citizens that have stopped crime, mass shooting, etc. here is a jump point.

http://www.thehighroad.org/archive/inde ... 70374.html

The Trolley Square shooting in SLC, UT. happened 3-4 days after I was there with my wife for dinner at Tony Romas. An off duty police officer who was eating dinner at the Spaghetti Factory heard the shooting begin and rushed in with his concealed .38 revolver. He was met on the way by another officer and together they forced the shooter to take cover in a store and kept him pinned down until an "active shooter team" finished the job. The response was immediate, something like 6 minutes from the first 911 call. However, without an armed person to engage the shooter, I hate to think how many more would have died in those additional 6 minutes. Yes people died, I think 4 or 5 were killed, but it was nowhere near the "body count" of other mass shootings.

Gun free zones DO NOT WORK. The only thing that will stop these shootings is a bullet in the head and the sooner that happens, obviously, the better. Your moronic fear of firearms is the reason these things keep happening. Yeah, you fucking heard me, YOUR MORONIC FEAR OF FIREARMS IS THE CAUSE. I would have no problem carrying concealed when I volunteer for my daughters preschool class, or attend school plays, or assemblies and there are numerous teachers who would have no problem carrying and yet morons like you are the reason neither of us can legally carry. Is it a guarantee that this will never happen again? Of course not, but to prevent an armed parent or teacher from possibly stopping an active shooter is, in fact, YOU condoning the death of innocent children. By insisting on gunfree zones you prevent the possibly of these shootings being stopped outright or at the very least stopped sooner with less innocent lives lost. You think about that. Every innocent person who dies because YOU support disarming them, it's YOU signing their death warrant, it's YOU that deemed their life not worth defending, and it's YOU that are the cause. Who the fuck do you think you are to deny someone their right to life, and to defend their life if needed? Who the fuck are you to say my children don't deserve to be protected while at school?

It's always the same old shit from you people. Every time a CCW law is passed "it's the wild west, blood will run in the streets, no one will be safe ever again, you're all gonna die!!?" What's that? Silence? Low crime rates? Murder and rape going down? Take your broken record "but guns kilz people" bullshit and stuff it. Jeez why can't mass murders find you people? It's shouldn't be hard since you're the only ones walking around with your head up your ass.


But hey, gun control worked in the South to keep the slaves in line WELL AFTER the civil war. http://www.saf.org/LawReviews/Tahmassebi1.html
Be it enacted . . . [t]hat no freedman, free Negro or mulatto, not in the military . . . and not licensed so to do by the board of police of his or her county, shall keep or carry firearms of any kind, or any ammunition, . . . and all such arms or ammunition shall be forfeited to the informer . . . ."

Threw that out there since it's 3 am and there is a Black guy shooting a gun about 30 yards from my house. It's got a light on it...and ..a.....red dot sight....and a big clip thing.......and OMG, what should I do!!! Assume the fetal position, find my happy place, find my happy place. :roll: A raccoon tried to chase his cat in through the kitty door.... :rofl:...he's pissed because it interrupted "Good Morning Vietnam".......bye, bye.......no more raccoon. :rofl: :rofl: The funny thing is, I know it's him by his "signature". Motherfucker is fast on the trigger, his double tap almost sounds like one report. Damn crazy colored folk. :shock: :laugh: And what do you have against Black people with guns? Huh? Little bit of racism in there? Media inspired prejudice perhaps???

I wrote that last night and as I usually wait to post rants until I've read them later, I still stand by everything in that post.

Further, I wholly agree that immediate action, at a national level needs to happens. Repeal the gun free zones. Publicly, through every media channel let it be known that teachers and Law abiding citizens alike can now carry freely on school premises. Follow up with interviews of teachers who carry and parents carrying to pick up their kids. THAT is the message that needs to be sent. That these cowardly, demented individuals will face an armed response when attempting to kill the most innocent among us.


Rates are based on cases per 100,000 people for all of calendar year 2010
  • State----------------------Michigan--------------Texas
    City --------------------------Detroit --------------Fort Worth
    Population-------------------713,777-------------746,433
    Violent Crime----------------1,887.4---------------575.1
    Murder/manslaughter--------34.5-------------------8.4
    Forcible rape------------------45.0 ---------------- 42.6
    Robbery ----------------------615.7----------------178.2
    Aggravated assault--------1,192.2---------------345.9
    Property crime--------------5,312.9--------------4,701.0
    Burglary ---------------------1,900.1--------------1,252.9
    Larceny-theft----------------2,011.8--------------3,118.0
    Motor vehicle theft----------1,401.1---------------330.1
    Arson---------------------------120.3----------------18.5
Clearly the gun control measures in Forth Worth, Texas are working. Maybe Chicago should get a clue and follow their lead.
Dude, I owe you a beer or a drink! Let me know if you are coming to V@V 2013!
C.R. Krieger wrote:
GKLCPA wrote:No doubt that the outcome of this will be some sort of gun control--perhaps on assault rifles. That won't be effective in curbing any of this however. It will be more effective in leaving everyone else unarmed though.
Really? REALLY? Who the FUCK carries an assault rifle for SELF-DEFENSE? Who the FUCK carries around 100 rounds for SELF-DEFENSE? Use your head for something other than a place to hang your t-shirt.
:evil:
Umm... my dad and stepmom. Always have; but now have concealed carry permits and 2 guns in each car. This after a disgruntled employee she fired was arrested threatened their livelyhood by walking around the house at night.

Dad has an SKS with a carbon stock, 75 round drum, a bayonet and a bipod, with a scope.
RangerGress
Posts: 678
Joined: Jan 20, 2012
Location: Savannah, GA
Contact:

Post by RangerGress »

Tammer in Philly wrote:
RangerGress wrote: A study of rape punishment might conclude that harsher punishments don't deter if the statistics show that swift minimum mandatory sentences deter better than delayed chaotic, often longer, sentences. But one extrapolates from that at risk. Cut the guy's dick off, do it in some way that maximizes public humiliation, and see if you don't get some deterrence value.
That's all very interesting, but your ultimate solution is to sacrifice one set of Constitutional rights (freedom from cruel and unusual punishment) to protect another (gun ownership)? Seems misguided to me, but I get your point.
If one creates incentives that synch with human nature, they get good results. The contrary, no matter how well intended, get lousy results. Swift, sure, draconian consequences works because it is in synch with human nature.
I don't think I've seen data that demonstrates such things work, at least not without severe government intrusion and suspension of things like fair trials. So I question that premise.
Re. Better education. I'm all for teachers that push the kids hard, spank the crap out of those that don't pay attention, and kick the problem kids out of the school. But education isn't a core issue here. Kids should be getting their values from their parents. When the vice principle spanks the child, that's just some reinforcement of parental training. Schools are a place to gain knowledge and learn the social skills that come from being surrounded by peers. Thugs don't hurt people because they didn't get enough math.
Then figure out a way to make sure a whole lot of people don't have kids. Seriously, I've taught in one of the worst school systems in this country and I can tell you that someone has to do something when the parents fail, because they do.
Re. Disadvantaged. Sure, a lot of kids come from seriously screwed up homes. And if you accept my premise that kids are all born sociopaths, a home that fails to train that out of a kid is a certain recipe for a thug. With the best of intentions we've done a lot of harm in my lifetime on this issue. The percentages of children having children, and births out of wedlock are incredible. Most of these kids aren't going to go anywhere, they never had a fair chance. We've replaced a culture of self-sufficiency, personal responsibility and Protestant work-ethic with one of entitlement.
The only solution to this is good sex ed with a focus on preventing pregnancy. That means condoms. By the way, teen pregnancies are down. Also, there's a cultural misunderstanding at work. Affluent people tend to think all teen pregnancies are "unwanted." That isn't the case in some populations, which is why it comes back to education.

Protestants don't have a lock on work ethic, FYI.

-tammer
Re. Sacrificing rights and cruel and unusual punishment. The 8th Amendment applied only the the Federal government until the Supremes got involved. To uselessly mince words, it's not so much a Constitutional right as it is an "interpretation". Nothing about violent crime makes it logically a federal issue as the Founding Fathers saw the demarcation line between Federal and State power.

That being said, this is all a hypothetical debate anyhow. If it's necessary for me to lobby for the repeal of the 8th Amendment to create my "solution" than so be it.

Re. seeing data that deterrence works. Our behavior is largely a product of incentives. Change the incentives and we change behavior. If behavior seems disconnected from incentives, then it's not that we should doubt the impact of incentives, it's that we misunderstand the incentives. If we accept the basic truth of a carrot and a stick, is it critical to our success to rigorously determine the utility of a hickory stick vs. an oak stick? Nice to know, sure, but should we wring our hands and do nothing until we've somehow arrived at a rigorous analysis that withstands every scrutiny, of the efficacy of hickory vs. oak on behavior.

Re. severe government intrusion and suspension of fair trials. I'm not sure I understand. I advocate neither.

Re. figure out a way for a whole lot of people to not have kids. That's a tough one with no easy answers. There has to be consequences to having kids before a person is emotionally and economically prepared to do it right. The problem is never going to be fixed, but we can help things a lot by restoring the same social and economic consequences that kept the problem in check during our grandfather's generation.

Re. out-of-wedlock births that were wanted, and the solution is education. I disagree. It's all the rage that education and training change behaviors. Some white guy says something politically incorrect to a protected class and he gets sent to "training", as if the root of his problem was a lack of information. There's a lot of failures if some entirely unprepared unmarried teenage girl wants a kid. To the extent that there is any solution it will be creating an environment where the community condemns her bitterly for getting pregnant out of wedlock, makes her feel ashamed every day thereafter. Put her thru hell. Put the guy that knocked her up thru hell. The calculus of incentives have to be changed from "having a baby to love me would be nice" to "my life is ruined if I have a baby".

There certainly cannot have a system that creates economic for kids or out of wedlock births.

The irony is that demographic trends indicate that we need all the kids being born we can get. Europe will soon be desperate for kids. The challenge is to try to encourage strong families to have more kids while discouraging children from having children.

Re. handing out free condoms. It's hard to imagine that the free distribution of something that is readily available at little cost will be a great big solution, but I don't care one way or another. The problem is the behavior, not their difficulty obtaining a purple Trojan tickler. Create a private charity that pays for a great big barrel of condoms on every streetcorner for all I care.

Re. Protestant work ethic. Was just a figure of speech to accurately communicate an idea. Call it a Chinese or Indian work ethic if you'd like <g>.

Good debating with you Tammer <salute>.

Oops, that last sentence might be inappropriate in this thread. If I made anyone uncomfortable, insert some personal attack.
Tammer in Philly
Posts: 10719
Joined: Feb 12, 2006
Location: CHI, IL

Post by Tammer in Philly »

RangerGress wrote:Good debating with you Tammer <salute>.

Oops, that last sentence might be inappropriate in this thread. If I made anyone uncomfortable, insert some personal attack.
And you. If it will make you feel more comfortable, I'll call you a zealous asshole or something.

Or I'll just run into you at Mid-Ohio on Memorial Day (hopefully not while driving).

-tammer
WilNJ
Posts: 4193
Joined: Aug 12, 2009
Location: North Jersey

Post by WilNJ »

RangerGress wrote:Don't look to Fox to solve your problems, just in general seek info from both sides of an issue. Be aware of biases.
I don't look to Fox, my news sources tend be NPR, CNN and CSmonitor. But you were the one questioning whether there was some reason that Nick Meli's story wasn't getting out there and had opined that the national news outlets weren't reporting his involvement because it "didn't fit their worldview".
RangerGress
Posts: 678
Joined: Jan 20, 2012
Location: Savannah, GA
Contact:

Post by RangerGress »

WilNJ wrote:
RangerGress wrote:Don't look to Fox to solve your problems, just in general seek info from both sides of an issue. Be aware of biases.
I don't look to Fox, my news sources tend be NPR, CNN and CSmonitor. But you were the one questioning whether there was some reason that Nick Meli's story wasn't getting out there and had opined that the national news outlets weren't reporting his involvement because it "didn't fit their worldview".
The "don't look to Fox to solve your problems" was supposed to be ironical. It would have translated better if you'd have seen me chortling while I wrote it.
WilNJ
Posts: 4193
Joined: Aug 12, 2009
Location: North Jersey

Post by WilNJ »

RangerGress wrote:
WilNJ wrote:
RangerGress wrote:Don't look to Fox to solve your problems, just in general seek info from both sides of an issue. Be aware of biases.
I don't look to Fox, my news sources tend be NPR, CNN and CSmonitor. But you were the one questioning whether there was some reason that Nick Meli's story wasn't getting out there and had opined that the national news outlets weren't reporting his involvement because it "didn't fit their worldview".
The "don't look to Fox to solve your problems" was supposed to be ironical. It would have translated better if you'd have seen me chortling while I wrote it.
You're all over the place on this so I'll be blunt. The reason no one is talking about Nick Meli's role in the mall shooting is because no one cares anymore. That's it. It's not any of the reasons in your post or in the scores of other tinfoil hat crowd comments anywhere else on the web on the subject.
davintosh
Posts: 13965
Joined: Jan 28, 2009
Location: Sioux Falls, SD
Contact:

Post by davintosh »

WilNJ wrote:
RangerGress wrote:Don't look to Fox to solve your problems, just in general seek info from both sides of an issue. Be aware of biases.
I don't look to Fox, my news sources tend be NPR, CNN and CSmonitor.

Well, thar's yer problem, right thar.
WilNJ wrote:But you were the one questioning whether there was some reason that Nick Meli's story wasn't getting out there and had opined that the national news outlets weren't reporting his involvement because it "didn't fit their worldview".

... The reason no one is talking about Nick Meli's role in the mall shooting is because no one cares anymore. That's it.
"No one" cares anymore because the template is already set, and the politicians on the left, with the aid of their sympathetic puppets in the media, will be pushing for more gun control measures in the wake of Friday's school shooting, and that story just doesn't help their cause. However, I doubt anything will be accomplished on the gun control issue because the President gave it the Kiss Of Death™ over the weekend, promising "meaningful change". His leadership abilities crack me up.
w0014170
Posts: 2478
Joined: Nov 12, 2007
Location: Deep South

Post by w0014170 »

RangerGress wrote:
WilNJ wrote:
RangerGress wrote:Don't look to Fox to solve your problems, just in general seek info from both sides of an issue. Be aware of biases.
I don't look to Fox, my news sources tend be NPR, CNN and CSmonitor. But you were the one questioning whether there was some reason that Nick Meli's story wasn't getting out there and had opined that the national news outlets weren't reporting his involvement because it "didn't fit their worldview".
The "don't look to Fox to solve your problems" was supposed to be ironical. It would have translated better if you'd have seen me chortling while I wrote it.
Damn a chortling Ranger :banana:
RangerGress
Posts: 678
Joined: Jan 20, 2012
Location: Savannah, GA
Contact:

Post by RangerGress »

WilNJ wrote: You're all over the place on this so I'll be blunt.
Upon reflection and a little research, I agree that you are probably right re. why the story hasn't been picked up. Instead of immediately conceding the point earlier, I chose to go with the nicely absurd "Don't look to Fox to solve your problems." I apologize for creating stress.

When faced with an opportunity to either make a solid point, or a decent joke, I'll go with the joke. I can always go back and make the point later, but with jokes the timing has to be right.
w0014170
Posts: 2478
Joined: Nov 12, 2007
Location: Deep South

Post by w0014170 »

He's chortling again, I can hear you! :rofl:
FastFiver
Posts: 1716
Joined: Feb 12, 2006
Location: The murder mitten

Post by FastFiver »

I chortled at 'ironical'
Adam W in MN
Posts: 5055
Joined: Feb 12, 2006
Location: Don't waste my motherf***in' time!
Contact:

Post by Adam W in MN »

WilNJ wrote:It's not any of the reasons in your post or in the scores of other tinfoil hat crowd comments anywhere else on the web on the subject.
I chortled.
WilNJ
Posts: 4193
Joined: Aug 12, 2009
Location: North Jersey

Post by WilNJ »

davintosh wrote:"No one" cares anymore because the template is already set, and the politicians on the left, with the aid of their sympathetic puppets in the media,
HOLY S***T. Find the right wing source that's carrying his roll in the mall shooting then. There isn't one because no one cares about Oregon anymore, it's not THE big story.

There was never any discussion of it here either.

There were 2 victims there vs. 26 in CT. It's not the big story anymore.
WilNJ
Posts: 4193
Joined: Aug 12, 2009
Location: North Jersey

Post by WilNJ »

davintosh wrote:
WilNJ wrote:CSmonitor.


Well, thar's yer problem, right thar.
Yeah, those batshit crazy Christians will get you every time.
WilNJ
Posts: 4193
Joined: Aug 12, 2009
Location: North Jersey

Post by WilNJ »

davintosh wrote: His leadership abilities crack me up.
Yeah, the other guy would have been a huge improvement.

Image
davintosh
Posts: 13965
Joined: Jan 28, 2009
Location: Sioux Falls, SD
Contact:

Post by davintosh »

WilNJ wrote:
davintosh wrote:
WilNJ wrote:CSmonitor.


Well, thar's yer problem, right thar.
Yeah, those batshit crazy Christian Scientologists will get you every time.
There; FIFY. Christian Scientologist ≠ Christian. Christian Scientists call themselves Christians, but their beliefs deviate from Biblical Christianity on nearly every central Doctrine. Might help if you did a little research on your sources of info.
http://www.salon.com/1999/09/01/christian_2/

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=pl ... bxS0#t=14s <<< :shock:
davintosh
Posts: 13965
Joined: Jan 28, 2009
Location: Sioux Falls, SD
Contact:

Post by davintosh »

Just scanned through this FBI publication; somebody is giving thought to the situation. Interesting:
Violence -- whether in a school, home, workplace, or on the street -- is a complex issue with complex causes and consequences. Imagining that there are easy answers and instant solutions is counterproductive: there is no easy way to attack the causes and no simple formula that can predict who will commit a violent act. It is also true, however, that violent behavior develops progressively, that making a threat represents a stage in an evolutionary process, and that there are observable signs along the way that most of us can see if we know what to look for.

Overall, the level of violence in American schools is falling, not rising. But the shock and fear generated by the recent succession of school shootings and other violent acts in schools -- and by violence in society at large -- have led to intense public concern about the danger of school violence. In this atmosphere, it is critically important for schools to respond to all threats swiftly, responsibly, fairly, and sensitively, and with an understanding that all threats are not equal.
emphasis mine.
wkohler
Posts: 50939
Joined: Oct 05, 2006
Location: Phönix, Arizona, USA
Contact:

Post by wkohler »

Hey Dave, its Christian Scientist, which is different from Scientologists. I don't think you have to have any money to be a Christian Scientist.

I'm sorry that people have stopped caring about the events in Clackamas. In my opinion, its just as bad, but the media has to get all the incorrect facts out before everyone else (Fox, CNN and HuffPo to name a few).
Post Reply